The summit in Riyadh opens the way to a regional balance
2017 May 21 ( Sunday ) 23:01:09
The Arab-Islamic-American summit, held on Sunday in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, was held to consolidate the common efforts to counter radical Islam and the establishment of a moderate line in the Muslim worldview, in general, has already been decided by the United States.
The fact that no Muslim country, with the exception of Iran, has evaded participation in the summit initiated by Washington, says that all the participants in this action are ready to take decisions and measures to counter radical Islamic groups. But this does not mean that an Islamic analogue of NATO will be created in the forced regime, which was announced by the world media.
Some politicians, including those in Saudi Arabia, are mistaken, believing that the US is preparing for a military solution to curb the regime in Iran and the entire ceremony of the consolidating meeting of Islamic leaders in Riyadh is aimed at this."Iran is the main prize here." All other decoration," said on the eve of the Guardian summit, citing a member of the royal family of Saudi Arabia, who refused to give his name.
Indeed, the Iranian threat was the main theme of the summit, the tone of which was set by the Americans and Saudis. President Donald Trump during the presidential race and subsequently visibly thickened the clouds around Iran, calling him an accomplice of terrorism in the world. He was echoed by the crown prince of the Saudi kingdom, Mohammed bin Salman, noting that "there is no room for dialogue with Iran because of its ambitions to control the Islamic world."
The US deal with Saudi Arabia during Trump's $350 billion visit, of which $110 billion is in armaments, certainly brought the relationship between the two countries that were cooled during the Obama presidency, then referred to the connivance of terrorism by the Saudis. But it will not become the basis for the beginning of a military or other US power policy against Iran, as they hope, in the kingdom. Of course, we should expect US support in the confrontation of Saudi Arabia with a group of Shiite husits in Yemen, where the Saudi army, along with the Gulf allies, has been unable to achieve a break for several years.
In this Middle East game, Washington's main task remains the elimination of radicalism and the search for a consensus between the Arab world and Israel, the conflict between which is latent in nature, and somewhat camouflaged by the Iranian threat. Today, the consolidated perception of Iran as a common threat remains a common platform for the formation of a certain understanding between the Arabs and the Jews. In the long-term and even in the medium term, there is no chance to form an anti-Iranian coalition.
There are reasons for this. The victory in the presidential election of Hassan Ruhani, at which the nuclear agreement was signed, which provided for the refusal to develop nuclear (military) projects, began a constructive dialogue with the Western world and the development of a moderate philosophy of Islam in Iran, showed that the Iranian people are aimed at securing the country from isolation, both world-wide and regional level.
In his program of the first 100 days and 4 years of his subsequent presidency, Ruhani relied on Iran's even greater openness, the fight against terrorism and the evolutionary development of relations with the US and other Western countries, as well as overcoming contradictions with Islamic neighbors.
The US is in parallel negotiating with Iran on participation in Iranian energy and other projects. "American company Pall intends to transfer the technology and invest in the launch of the production line of oil equipment in Iran," said Nedu Musavizadegan, managing director of the Iranian engineering company Panid. This is the first US investment after the 1979 Iranian Islamic Revolution.
From the logic of US interests in a rich energy region, one should expect that the Trump administration will not go to serious aggravation with Iran, which is aimed at cooperation and reforms, as well as Saudi Arabia with its program for the development of the non-oil economy until 2030. In general, we can expect the formation of a balanced US policy in the region in order to obtain as much dividends as possible from cooperation with all parties in a disconnected Islamic world.