Main - TURAN.AZ
Politics
Economics
Energy
Finance
Analytics
- ISSUES -
Bulletin Political News
Bulletin Economical News
Bulletin Energy News
Bulletin Finance News
- REVIEWS -
Markets review
Political Monitoring
Economic Review
* * *
Main - CONTACT.AZ
Want to Say
Social
Culture
Worldwide
- INTERVIEW -
Interview
ÇƏTİN SUAL
- REPORTS -
Photo sessions
Actual report
Significant Azeris
- NEWS COLLECTION -
«Georgian case»
* * *
Enter Main - TURAN.AZ AZ ... RU
Bağla

Political monitoring
Political Monitoring 


2017 July 10 ( Monday )  10:56:08
Print version
Русский Azərbaycan

Chronicle of Events

06/01/17: The Azeri armed forces destroyed the command and observation points of the Armenian side on the confrontation line, the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry's press service said. Where exactly it happened and when was not specified.

06/01/17: A representative of the National Movement party, MP Salome Samadashvili, said Georgian authorities were involved in the kidnapping of the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly in downtown Tbilisi on May 29.

06/01/17: Human Rights Watch (HRW) strongly condemned the abduction of the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly in Georgia and the filing of criminal charges against him in Azerbaijan.

06/01/17: The organization in defense of the press, Reporters Without Borders, called on the Georgian authorities to explain how the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly, who has been living in Georgia since 2015, was kidnapped and transferred to Azerbaijan.

06/01/17: The authorities announced the formation of a new structure of the presidential administration of Azerbaijan. According to an official message on the website of the head of state, Ramiz Mehdiyev again became the head of the administration. At the head of state the number of assistants grew from 4 to 8.

06/01/17: Around a hundred representatives of Georgian civil society held an action opposite the Georgian Ministry of Security in support of Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/01/17: After 30 days of administrative arrest, Aziz Orujov, the executive director of Internet TV Kanal-13, faces criminal charges of illegal business and abuse of official powers.

06/02/17: One of the leaders of the opposition party European Georgia Givi Targamadze claims that the kidnapping of the Azerbaijani journalist in Tbilisi was organized by a relative of the former Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili.

06/02/17: Representatives of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) were not allowed to the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly. Turan was told about this by the human rights activist Ogtay Gulaliyev.

06/02/17: Afgan Mukhtarly was abducted on Chonkadze Street after he left the fixed-route taxi. The information about this was spread by the spouse of the Azerbaijani journalist Leila Mustafayeva. According to her information, two men who spoke Georgian attacked Afgan.

06/03/17: The governments of Georgia and Azerbaijan must comply with their international obligations and conduct an effective and transparent investigation in connection with the case of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly. This was stated by the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Federica Mogherini.

06/05/17: The lawyer Elchin Sadigov was not allowed to meet at the Baku Detention Center No 1 with the deputy chairman of the Popular Front Party Gezal Bayramli and the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/05/17: "It's not right to politicize legal issues, and artificial politicization of such issues is unacceptable. Attempts by certain forces to harm the Azerbaijani-Georgian relations are doomed to failure." This was stated by the press secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan Hikmet Hajiyev, commenting on the statements of the US State Department and the European Union with the demand to immediately release the deputy chairman of the Popular Front Party Gezal Bayramli and the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/05/17: The Minister of Energy of Azerbaijan Natig Aliyev, in connection with health problems that had arisen, was directed to treatment in Turkey. Turan was informed about this in the press service of the Ministry of Health.

06/05/17: The head of state signed several documents related to the State Border Guard Service. One of the main innovations is the division of the posts of the chief of the State Border Guard Service and the commander of the Border Troops.

06/06/17: At the meeting of the Human Rights Committee of the Georgian Parliament, journalists and human rights activists staged a protest in support of their Azerbaijani colleague Afgan Mukhtarly. They put plastic bags on their heads and raised banners: "It will not work for you" and "SOCARtvelo".

06/06/17: Prosecutor General Zakir Garalov announced the facts of financial and legislative violations by opposition parties and NGOs.

06/06/17: The Baku Court of Appeal, chaired by Ilgar Murguzov, dismissed the complaint about the arrest of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/06/17: The Center for the Protection of Political Prisoners decided to include four more people in the list of 161 political prisoners:

1. Gezal Bayramli - Deputy Chairman of PFPA

2. Afgan Mukhtarly - journalist researcher

3. Aziza Orujova - editor of TV Kanal 13

4. Natig Shahbazov - a resident of Nardaran

06/07/17: The leader of the opposition National Council of Democratic Forces was subjected to customs examination at the Baku airport upon returning from a business trip to China.

06/07/17: Reporters Without Borders (RSF) and 22 international human rights organizations sent a letter to Georgian Prime Minister Georgy Kvirikashvili, calling for a full investigation into the abduction of the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly in Tbilisi on May 29.

06/08/17: Opposition leaders rejected accusations of Prosecutor General Zakir Garalov about financing their parties from abroad.

06/08/17: Director of the OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) Michael Link expressed deep concern over the abduction and ill-treatment of the Azerbaijani journalist and human rights activist Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/08/17: Hilal Mammadov, editor-in-chief of the Tolyshi Sado newspaper, was detained. He was released after several hours of conversation.

06/08/17: An activist of the Khatai district branch of the youth committee of the Popular Front Party Islam Islamzadeh was arrested for 25 days by the decision of the Agdam district court.

06/09/17: The Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev did not participate in the meeting of the heads of the member states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) as a guest of the Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Such a proposal was made to him during the official visit of the Kazakh President to Azerbaijan on April 3.

06/09/17: The Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov left for Kazakhstan to attend the opening ceremony of the international specialized exhibition Expo-2017 in Astana.

06/09/17: Azerbaijani Energy Minister Natig Aliyev died at the Istanbul clinic. As the Turkish media reported, Aliyev was delivered to Istanbul late last week in extremely serious condition.

06/10/17: The Coordinator of the NGO Coalition on Transparency in Extractive Industries Gubad Ibadoglu called on the government to return to the international initiative on transparency (EITI) and restore the format of cooperation: international initiative-government-civil society.

06/09/17: A member of the Human Rights Committee of the Azerbaijani Parliament from the ruling party, MP Elman Nasyrov said in an interview with Radio Azadlig the detention of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly was the result of a joint Georgian-Azerbaijani "successful" special operation.

06/12/17: Mehriban Aliyeva continued the formation of her team. Mehdi Dadashev and Fariz Rzayev were appointed deputy chiefs of the secretariat of the First Vice-President of Azerbaijan.

06/12/17: Joint tactical exercises of the armed forces of Azerbaijan and Turkey began in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic.

06/12/17: The Foreign Minister of Estonia Sven Mikser, who was on an official visit to Baku, was received by the Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov.

06/12/17: The Azerbaijani Defense Minister Zakir Hasanov discussed the course of joint military exercises in Nakhchivan with the Commander of the Turkish Army, Salih Zeki Cholak, who was in Baku.

06/12/17: During the meeting of the Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov with the Minister of International Development of Australia Concetta Fierravanti-Wells, issues of development of the bilateral relations in the fields of shipbuilding, agriculture, tourism and mine clearance were discussed.

06/13/17: President Ilham Aliyev received Cesar Florin Pred and Stefan Schennak, co-rapporteurs of the PACE Monitoring Committee.

06/13/17: The Prosecutor General"s Office of Azerbaijan refuted the statement of the deputy from the ruling New Azerbaijan Party Elman Nasyrov that the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly was detained in Tbilisi and brought to Baku as a result of a joint operation of the special services of Azerbaijan and Georgia.

06/13/17: The Head of State Ilham Aliyev received the ambassadors of Muslim countries accredited in Baku on the occasion of the holy month of Ramadan.

06/13/17: President Ilham Aliyev received the Georgian Minister of Economy and Sustainable Development Georgy Ghahariani, as well as the Bulgarian Prosecutor General Sotir Tsatsarov.

06/13/17: PACE Monitoring Committee co-rapporteurs Stefan Shennach and Caesar Florin Preda met with Justice Minister Fikret Mammadov.

06/13/17: The Embassy of Great Britain organized a reception on the occasion of the national holiday of the United Kingdom - the birthday of Queen Elizabeth II.

06/14/17: The Garadagh District Court decided to transfer Movsum Samedov, leader of the Islamic Party of Azerbaijan (IPA), from Prison No. 12 to the special-regime Gobustan prison for three years. The decision was made on the basis of the prison administration's submission.

06/14/17: The former and current Musavat party chairmen, Isa Gambar and Arif Hajili, as well as the head of the apparatus of this opposition organization Gulaga Aslanli, were summoned for questioning to the Azerbaijani Prosecutor General"s Office on the case of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/14/17: The head of state visited the village of Jojug Marjanly of the Jabrail district, which is being rebuilt after 24 years of occupation. The visit was timed to the opening of a new road to this village with a length of 9 km.

06/14/17: A verdict was announced in the Baku Grave Crimes Court to the editor-in-chief of the website Jam.az Fikret Faramazoglu (Ibishbeyli). The court found him guilty of extortion by threats and sentenced him to 7 years imprisonment, banning journalism for him for two years after his release. The defense did not agree with the decision of the court and intended to appeal against it.

06/15/17: The European Parliament adopted a resolution urging the Azerbaijani authorities to release the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly abducted in Georgia, where he sought asylum, in late May.

06/15/17: The European Union Delegation in Azerbaijan presented a new website: www.SizinAvropa.az, where information on cooperation between the EU countries and Azerbaijan in various fields will be published in the Azerbaijani language.

06/16/17: The leader of the Popular Front Party Ali Kerimli was interrogated for more than 3 hours in the Investigatory Directorate of Grave Crimes of the General Prosecutor's Office.

06/16/17: The official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan Hikmet Hajiyev believes the resolution of the European Parliament in the case of Afgan Mukhtarly is biased and has no legal force.

06/16/17: Isa Gambar, the former leader of the Musavat Party, testified in the Directorate of Grave Crimes of the General Prosecutor's Office. The interrogation concerned the case of Afgan Mukhtarly, as he told Turan IA upon its completion.

06/16/17: US Ambassador Robert Cekuta gave a festive dinner Iftar at the end of the day in the Muslim holy month of Ramadan.

06/17/17: The Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan reported the destruction of five Armenian soldiers the night before.

06/19/17: Another oppositionist was summoned for questioning to the Prosecutor General"s Office Directorate for Grave Crimes. The head of the Movement of Intelligentsia Eldaniz Guliyev was interrogated for more than two hours.

06/19/17: President Ilham Aliyev received the co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group (MG), as well as the personal representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office Andrzej Kasprzyk.

06/19/17: In the German city of Nuremberg, Azerbaijanis living in Europe held a protest action under the slogan "Azerbaijan without political prisoners". Its participants demanded the release of social and political activists and journalists under arrest.

06/19/17: The European Court of Human Rights started the investigation of the kidnapping of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly, and on June 8 sent a request on this matter to the government of Azerbaijan.

06/19/17: At the Shakhtakhty border post in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, customs officers stopped the attempt to transit 93 kg of heroin via Azerbaijan.

06.19.17: Co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group Igor Popov (Russia), Richard Hoagland (USA) and Stefan Visconti (France) and the Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office Andrzej Kasprzyk made a statement on the results of the visit to the region, urging the parties to resume substantive negotiations

06/20/17: The Nasimi district court examined the petition for changing the measure of restraint to the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly from arrest to house arrest.

06/21/17: The co-rapporteurs of the PACE Monitoring Committee Stefan Shennach (Austria) and Cesar Florin Preda visited Baku from 12 to 14 June and issued a statement following the visit, in which they called on Baku to fulfill its obligations.

06/22/17: President Ilham Aliyev received Moldovan President Igor Dodon, who arrived in Baku on an official visit the previous evening. During the negotiations between the Presidents of Azerbaijan and Moldova, the prospects of bilateral cooperation for the near future were discussed. After the talks with Igor Dodon, the head of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev said this, speaking at a briefing for journalists.

06/22/17: A preparatory session on the case of the blogger Alexander Lapshin took place in the Baku Grave Crimes Court.

06/23/17: UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres issued a statement on the recent aggravation of the situation in the Karabakh conflict zone, supporting the appeal of the MG co-chairs to the parties with a call to avoid further escalation and consider measures to limit tension. "We also join the appeals of the co-chairs to resume substantive negotiations, showing good intentions and political will," the statement said.

06/23/17: The mother of the executive director of Internet TV Kanal-13 Anar Orujov, Almaz Hasanova was hospitalized in a serious condition in the intensive care unit of City Hospital No. 2. Her condition deteriorated sharply during interrogation in the Investigatory Directorate of Grave Crimes of the Prosecutor General's Office.

06/23/17: The NIDA activist Bayram Mammadov started a hunger strike in Prison No. 13, where he is serving a sentence.

06/24/17: By the order of the head of state, Elchin Amirbekov was appointed the 9th assistant to the First Vice-President of the country. Prior to that, Amirbekov worked as Azerbaijan's ambassador to France.

06/24/17: A new shipment of weapons from Russia arrived at the Baku seaport on a Russian ferry, the press service of the Ministry of Defense reported.

06/26/17: Ilham Aliyev left for an official visit to Poland. During the visit, Aliyev would meet and negotiate with the political leadership of Poland.

06/26/17: In Strasbourg, within the framework of the PACE session, a debate was held on the theme: "Press suppression in the Council of Europe: abductions across borders". Emin Huseynov, Executive Director of the Institute for Reporters' Freedom and Safety (IRFS), told the Voice of America the press was focused on pressure on the free press in Azerbaijan, the death of the journalist Mehman Galandarov in the pre-trial detention center, and the kidnapping of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly in Georgia and his transfer to Azerbaijan.

06/27/17: The US State Department published an annual report on human trafficking in the world. Azerbaijan was included in the second group of countries. The government of the country does not fully comply with the minimum standards to eliminate this phenomenon, but is taking steps in this direction, the report said.

06/27/17: President Ilham Aliyev after his talks and signing of agreed documents within the framework of his visit to Poland made a joint statement with his Polish colleague. "Negotiations on Ukraine, the visit of Donald Trump to Europe, and especially to Poland were the focus of attention," said Andrzej Duda. "A new period of the Polish-Azerbaijani friendship begins, which is a logical continuation of the period of President Kaczynski," Ilham Aliyev said, underscoring the signing of many important documents.

06/27/17: Georgian President Georgy Margvelashvili received the wife of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly, who is in Azerbaijan under arrest, Leila Mustafayeva.

06/27/17: The Presidents of Azerbaijan and Poland, Ilham Aliyev and Andrzej Duda signed a joint declaration on the road map on strategic partnership and economic cooperation between the two countries,

06/29/17: The Main Police Department of Baku posted on its website information about the search for the former diplomat Arif Mammadov and the former press secretary of the State Student Admission Commission Elnur Naghizadeh.

06/29/17: Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev sent a draft amendment on the humanization of punishment to the Parliament.

06/29/17: By the order of the head of state, Emin Usubov was promoted to the rank of Major-General of Police. It is noteworthy that the 35-year-old chief of the Investigative Directorate of the Baku Department of the Interior Ministry is the son of the Minister of Internal Affairs.

06/29/17: The Steering Committee of the Open Government Partnership at its meeting in Washington D.C. decided to leave the status of Azerbaijan inactive for another year due to poor conditions for the activities of non-governmental organizations.

06/29/17: Baku hosted a meeting of representatives of military intelligence of Azerbaijan and Turkey, the press service of the Defense Ministry said.

06/30/17: The trial of the Russian-Israeli blogger Alexander Lapshin, accused of public calls against the statehood of Azerbaijan, continued in the Grave Crimes Court. Lapshin does not consider himself guilty of the charges.

Mukhtarly, Who Shook Georgia

06/01/17: A representative of the National Movement party, MP Salome Samadashvili, said Georgian authorities were involved in the kidnapping of the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly in downtown Tbilisi on May 29.

06/01/17: Human Rights Watch (HRW) strongly condemned the abduction of the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly in Georgia and the filing of criminal charges against him in Azerbaijan.

06/01/17: The organization in defense of the press, Reporters Without Borders, called on the Georgian authorities to explain how the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly, who has been living in Georgia since 2015, was kidnapped and transferred to Azerbaijan.

06/01/17: Around a hundred representatives of Georgian civil society held an action opposite the Georgian Ministry of Security in support of Afgan Mukhtarly.

06/02/17: One of the leaders of the opposition party European Georgia Givi Targamadze claims that the kidnapping of the Azerbaijani journalist in Tbilisi was organized by a relative of the former Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili.

06/02/17: Representatives of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) were not allowed to the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly. Turan was told about this by the human rights activist Ogtay Gulaliyev.

06/02/17: Afgan Mukhtarly was abducted on Chonkadze Street after he left the fixed-route taxi. The information about this was spread by the spouse of the Azerbaijani journalist Leila Mustafayeva. According to her information, two men who spoke Georgian attacked Afgan.

06/03/17: The governments of Georgia and Azerbaijan must comply with their international obligations and conduct an effective and transparent investigation in connection with the case of the journalist Afgan Mukhtarly. This was stated by the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Federica Mogherini.

Georgia-Azerbaijan: End of Marriage of Convenience

Disappearance of a person is a serious challenge for our statehood and sovereignty. President Giorgi Margvelashvili.

The events around the Azerbaijani journalist Afgan Mukhtarly, stolen in Tbilisi on May 29 and smuggled to Baku, revealed an entirely new balance of the realities of Azerbaijan and Georgia on the path of a protracted transition from the Soviet past to the democratic future of the South Caucasus.

In this story, the most important is the indicator of the increased political maturity of the Georgian society, which turned the ordinary case of interaction and mutual understanding between the Azerbaijani and Georgian elites into an event that from now on will have serious consequences for both Georgia and Azerbaijan and the region as a whole.

Similar examples of interaction between Azerbaijani and Georgian special services in an open or covert form have always been present in the territory of Georgia, but which remained unnoticed for two reasons. At the first stage, under Shevardnadze and Saakashvili, economically weakened Georgia, which received important dividends from the transportation of Azerbaijani energy resources and cargo, was forced to reckon with its eastern despotic neighbor. Over the past 10 years, investments in Georgia and joint business projects on the territory of this country of two elites, especially the Saakashvili circle, have become an additional argument for the intervention of official Baku in the affairs of the neighboring country. This could also include a joint confrontation with Russian claims and the threat of international terrorism in the region.

For example, in 2005, on the eve of the parliamentary elections in Azerbaijan, the special services of this oil country, with the participation of Georgian partners, staged a stage of getting Azerbaijani finances for the overthrow of the regime in Baku from Armenian special services. This fact, despite calls for solidarity from the Azerbaijani opposition to Georgia, then went unnoticed, both by the public and the Georgian media.

True, it should be noted that the syndrome of political emigration of dissidents to Georgia has become a notable phenomenon in recent years. He followed the flight of private Azerbaijani capital to Georgia, in search of a better life from oppression in his homeland.

The Baku regime acted the same way; first it began to scale up black capital in the Georgian harbor, and then made attempts to dissolve the tentacles into Georgian social and political life. In particular, this concerned the neutralization of the opponents of the regime in Baku, who were morally connected with Georgia. Recently, this process has acquired an open nature. The arrest and death in the Baku prison Mehman Galandarov, who returned from Georgia to the mother's wake, the arrest in Tbilisi of the order of the physician Farman Ceyranly from Baku, the arrest at the entrance from Georgia of the Deputy Chairman of the Popular Front party Gezal Bayramli, demonstrative surveillance of Azerbaijani dissidents in Tbilisi. It seems that these actions could not help annoying the Georgians, which proved to be the case in Mukhtarly's case. Georgian NGOs, the media, the opposition and the head of state in open form have expressed an unprecedented protest "Bored!"

Thus, the Azerbaijani government, wishing it or not, caused a storm of protest in the Georgian society, seriously undermining its own achievements in spreading its influence in this country.

What happened in two countries, which did not allow Mukhtarly's case to be released in the traditional way of mutual understanding? Georgia, having moved to the parliamentary republic, having signed an agreement on associative membership with the European Union, NATO was rapidly leaving the post-Soviet space, while Azerbaijan, having opted for a policy of self-isolation from the West, diametrically opposed began to return from the post-Soviet space to the Soviet one with a multicultural mix of communism and Islam, with the inherent symbiosis of suppression of dissent, political and economic freedoms.

Could in this case two neighboring Caucasian countries be neighbors in the direct sense of the word. It seems that no. The case of Mukhtarly showed that the time for marriage between Tbilisi and Baku is going on, but for love it does not work because of disagreements in values.

As a consequence, this scandalous incident can be called epochal. Official Baku after this event, which is still at the initial stage of the fault, will noticeably lose its leverage of influence and presence in Georgia. At the same time, Georgia, politically and even economically, will set the tone for regional development, adjusting it to its own standards, which are not so close to European ones, but differ considerably from Soviet standards. That is, we can predict the growth of Georgian democratic influence on the processes in Azerbaijan, which has long been one of the important factors in counteracting the Sovietization of Azerbaijan.

President and His Assistants

06/01/17: The authorities announced the formation of a new structure of the presidential administration of Azerbaijan. According to an official message on the website of the head of state, Ramiz Mehdiyev again became the head of the administration. At the head of state the number of assistants grew from 4 to 8.

06/12/17: Mehriban Aliyeva continued the formation of her team. Mehdi Dadashev and Fariz Rzayev were appointed deputy chiefs of the secretariat of the First Vice-President of Azerbaijan.

06/24/17: By the order of the head of state, Elchin Amirbekov was appointed the 9th assistant to the First Vice-President of the country. Prior to that, Amirbekov worked as Azerbaijan's ambassador to France.

Optimization

A number of mass media and experts tried to present the updated list of the senior staff of the presidential administration of Azerbaijan, published on June 1, as an important step towards reforms in the country, which are s much talked about, but nothing happens in reality.

http://www.contact.az/ext/news/2017/6/subsc/politics%20news/en/62787.htm

Review of the updated list indicates the formation of contours of the backbone of the presidential team optimized for the challenges of the time. The appointment of a number of senior administrative staff as the presidential aides, whose number has doubled and reached eight, points to the need for more compact and prompt decision-making.

Among the challenges of the administration are the economic crisis, the collapse of the banking system, social tension, external pressure, the Karabakh conflict, institutional and personnel changes in the context of strengthening the institution and positions of the first vice president, entry into the year of the presidential election-2018.

The presidential team left the persons responsible for the power bloc - the presidential aide for defense issues Vahid Aliyev and the head of the department for defense, Maharram Aliyev. Their leaving can be regarded logical from the point of view of scandalous events in the Ministries of National Security and Defense.

A notable appointment in the list is Altai Hasanov, who received the post of Chief of the First Vice-President's Secretariat. Hasanov is the cousin of the first lady, her associate in all beginnings; he has proved to be a reliable player of the family team. His appointment to the position of an important state official in the staff list of the First Vice President, means that he will play an important role in the formation of officials of Mehriban Aliyeva, who is regarded a clear candidate for the presidential post in next year's elections.

In the near future, the society should witness new personnel and institutional perturbations, and further consolidation of power in the hands of Mehriban Aliyeva, who officially controls the leading socio-economic bloc, and who should launch within a year, after the formation of the team, implementation of 12 road maps of reforms. Just they, according to Aliyev's strategists, will have to form public support in her favor during the pre-election period.

Her main headache is also the unfavorable political background caused by internal and public discontent, based on the different interests of oligarchic groups and the crisis of values and governance. In parallel with internal permutations and getting rid of ballast, there is an unprecedented pressure on dissidents - arrests of opposition and civil activists, blockage of messengers, tightening legislation in the field of freedom of speech, etc.

So far, there are no signs that the strategy of the family, aimed at 2018, may undergo changes. As always in the transition period, the government chooses a tough monologue with the society to minimize its influence on the results of the elections. This was demonstrated by all elective years of the last 24 years, when the Aliyevs returned to power in Azerbaijan. In this case, this line is complemented by the crisis and inside the team castling. And they will determine the course of the subsequent processes in Azerbaijan.

Baku and Warsaw Restore Tandem

06/26/17: Ilham Aliyev left for an official visit to Poland. During the visit, Aliyev would meet and negotiate with the political leadership of Poland.

06/27/17: President Ilham Aliyev after his talks and signing of agreed documents within the framework of his visit to Poland made a joint statement with his Polish colleague. "Negotiations on Ukraine, the visit of Donald Trump to Europe, and especially to Poland were the focus of attention," said Andrzej Duda. "A new period of the Polish-Azerbaijani friendship begins, which is a logical continuation of the period of President Kaczynski," Ilham Aliyev said, underscoring the signing of many important documents.

06/27/17: The Presidents of Azerbaijan and Poland, Ilham Aliyev and Andrzej Duda signed a joint declaration on the road map on strategic partnership and economic cooperation between the two countries,

Azerbaijan-Poland: Return to Kaczynski Era

A new stage of the Polish-Azerbaijani relations is now beginning. In fact, this is a logical continuation of the era of President Kaczynski. I.Aliyev.

After a long pause in the scope of his visits to Poland, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, made an official visit to Poland on June 26-28, which among the post-socialist states is the most zealous supporter of the entry of the former Soviet republics into the orbit of the West.

In his speech at the joint press conference with President Andrzej Duda, the Azerbaijani leader called the current Azerbaijani-Polish dialogue at the highest level "the logical continuation of the era of President Kaczynski."

"During the time of President Kaczynski, numerous visits were held: my visits to Poland, his visits to Azerbaijan. During these visits, we strengthened our friendship, talked about joint projects, launched some projects, "Aliyev said.

Indeed, only for the period 2004-2009 the times President Ilham Aliyev five times visited Poland, and three times the head of the Polish state Lech Kaczynski visited the capital of Azerbaijan. At that time Azerbaijan had no had such an intensive frequency of contacts at the highest level, except for some post-Soviet countries (Russia, Georgia, Ukraine), as well as Turkey.

In July 2009, during the visit of Kaczynski to Baku, the parties signed the "Charter of the Consultative Committee of the Presidents of Azerbaijan and Poland", "The Protocol of Intentions between SOCAR and Grupa Lotos", as well as the "Cooperation Schedule for 2009-2010 between the Security Council of Azerbaijan and the National Security Bureau of Poland. " For special merits in the development of friendly relations and cooperation between Poland and Azerbaijan, President Lech Kaczynski was awarded the Heydar Aliyev Order. In the final phase of the visit, the heads of state issued statements for the press. Ilham Aliyev noted the successful development of bilateral relations, which reached "the highest level".

However, after the death of Kaczynski in a plane crash near Smolensk in April 2010, the level of Azerbaijani-Polish ties has significantly reduced. The Poles still accuse the Kremlin of an intentional plane crash in order to liquidate Kaczynski, who was acting on the spearhead of Russian Anti-Russian policy. The aggression of Russia against Georgia in August 2008 and the catastrophe near Smolensk apparently signaled the alignment of the pro-Western tilt of Azerbaijan's foreign policy.

The subsequent maneuvers of Aliyev between Russia and the West demonstrate a more balanced course with a shift towards a demonstrative confrontation with European democracies, mainly in the issue of European integration and the promotion of democracy. It would be naive to say that it was the Russian factor that moved Aliyev to this policy of distancing. Here, it would be most appropriate to talk about the entry into conflict of two lines - the Western strategy for the democratization of Azerbaijan and the policy of Aliyev to strengthen his own authoritarian power in the conditions of the rapid growth of oil revenues.

The subsequent chain of events: the Warsaw Eastern Partnership Summit 2011 with promising prospects, the refusal of Ukraine and Armenia to sign an association agreement with the EU at a summit in Vilnius in 2014, Azerbaijan's rejection of an agreement on a strategic partnership with the EU at a summit in Riga in 2015, also affected the strategy of the Azerbaijani-Polish relations.

In Warsaw, both presidents admitted that the trade turnover of 100 million does not reflect the potential of the two countries, which also indicates the state of blocking the once ambitious plans that the parties, as they indicated, are ready to unblock. This can be facilitated by such factors as the economic crisis in Azerbaijan, the strengthening of the western dominant in the Eurasian region, the economic weakening of Russia, the implementation of new transnational communication projects.

The upcoming Brussels summit of the Eastern Partnership to be held in November, which is expected to sign a new framework agreement with the EU, will show if they will become the attendant factors of the logical continuation of the Kaczynski era.